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[Fordpaule]

New Orleans Saints

Offense

QB: Drew Brees, Sam Bradford
RB: Darren McFadden, Ahmad Bradshaw, Mark Ingram, LaMichael James
WR: Vincent Jackson, Antonio Brown, Eric Decker, Greg Jennings, Kenny Stills
TE: Kyle Rudolph, Zach Sudfeld
PK: Dan Bailey

Overview:

With three Saints on board, your team appears to be appropriately named, so congratulations on that. Now on to the analysis...

We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback and receiver. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be at running back.

This is often a tough weakness to mask, though, so you must be prepared to be very active in waivers and trades to change the composition of this team. Most drafts go very deep at the RB position and that usually means there are just table scraps left for those weak at the position.
But the good news is that running backs do emerge every year post-draft. Last year guys like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard could be had dirt cheap at the draft. In fact most likely were not rostered before the season started. Yet all of these players could have taken a weakness and made it into a strength for their prospective owners. This is the move you are going to need to make this year to take this team to a clear contender.

Players we particularly like on this team include Antonio Brown and Eric Decker. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:

With great inseason management, we think you have about a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With good inseason management, we think you have about a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With average inseason management, we think you have a 10 percent chance of making the playoffs.

QB Summary:

You don't need us to tell you this, but we'll tell you anyway: Drew Brees should ensure that your production at the quarterback position is among the best in the league. We have him as the #1 QB according to your scoring rules, and we figure he gives you about a 2.2 point-per-game advantage over an average starting QB.

Our projections don't show Sam Bradford as being a top-notch backup, but the issue will be moot as long as Brees stays healthy.

Incidentally, Bradford has what we project as a bad matchup (CAR) during Brees's bye.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Sam Bradford is ranked #12 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second quarterback and even a legitimate QB1. Heath Cummings reasons, "I've always thought that Sam Bradford was much better than his production indicated and this season we'll get to find out if I was right. The Rams have finally improved their offensive line and given Bradford some fun new toys to play with in Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. This team is stacked with so many you receivers that I have a hard time believing at least two of them aren't really good options. Oh yeah, and they added Jared Cook. Bradford has all the tools to put together his first season of QB1 production."

RB Summary:

We see both your starters at running back as below average. Our projections have Darren McFadden ranked 22nd and Ahmad Bradshaw ranked at #28.

Mark Ingram should be a good third running back. But LaMichael James is out of his league as a fourth RB.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some of our staffers have Darren McFadden as high as #15. Andy Hicks's take: "Darren McFadden was a major disappointment in 2012 and a key reason for that was the square peg in a round hole approach of the new Oakland regime. If they haven't figured out how best to use McFadden in 2013, then they deserve to be fired at the end of this year. I am hoping they come to their senses and design their offense to best use McFadden. The good news is that his draft slot will be considerably lower this season, but his ceiling will be just as high as 2012. Unfortunately he has an incredibly low floor as well, so you take your chances. "

Some members of our staff have Ahmad Bradshaw ranked as high as 24th, which would make him a fine second running back. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Bradshaw is a fine pass protector who limits quarterback hits and sacks. He only gave up 7 in over 500 attempts. He's also a creative runner who plays hurt. He's not a long-term option, which is why he didn't get signed during the early free agent period. However, for a playoff team seeking a one-year upgrade to Vick Ballard or at least quality depth of rotation, this signing makes sense. Low-end RB2 material for me with a little more PPR upside, but not a lot more than that. "

Mark Ingram is ranked #25 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average third running back. Andrew Garda reasons, "Ingram got the most carries last season, but that doesn't make much of a difference as this is a pretty messy running back-by-committee situation. I expect Ingram to get more touches this year as he takes some of the workload off Pierre Thomas. Ingram is also what passes for a goal line back in this group, for what little that's worth. Ultimately, he will get enough yards to function as a No. 2 running back for a fantasy team, or a flex spot player. "

LaMichael James is ranked #44 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine fourth running back. Chad Parsons reasons, "James is still the best fit for the spread concepts San Francisco runs with Colin Kaepernick under center. Frank Gore is still the lead back, but James is the most intriguing secondary option."

WR Summary:

Your starting receivers should, as a unit, be adequate but not great. In particular we like Antonio Brown as a second WR. Vincent Jackson is our #8 ranked receiver, and we have Brown at #17.

Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Tough to do better than Eric Decker at WR3; he's a likely flex starter. Greg Jennings is also a very nice WR4.

We're not sure that Kenny Stills adds much, as you're already strong at the position and we aren't convinced he's roster-worthy in this league anyway.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some of our staffers have Vincent Jackson as high as #5, which would make him an above average first receiver. Mark Wimer's take: "Jackson is in a great situation down in Tampa Bay, with good surrounding talent and the trust of strong-armed Josh Freeman - what's not to like? Jackson should have no problem meeting or exceeding last year's numbers as long as he steers clear of off-field entanglements (which he managed to do last season). "

Some members of our staff have Kenny Stills ranked as high as 52nd, which would make him an above average fifth receiver. Chad Parsons defends his high ranking as follows: "Stills has shown a knack for making big plays down the field a la Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem of New Orleans offenses past. He is more of a situational player that is worthwhile in a draftmaster format than one to figure out when to start in traditional fantasy leagues."

TE Summary:

Kyle Rudolph is viable but below average as a starting tight end (we have him ranked #8). We're also not too fired up about Zach Sudfeld as a backup.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Kyle Rudolph is ranked #4 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average first tight end. Chad Parsons reasons, "Rudolph has been a major red zone factor through two seasons, converting a Gronkowski-like 11-of-19 targets into touchdowns. With the additions of Greg Jennings and Cordarrelle Patterson, Rudolph may need to match his nine touchdowns from a year ago to be an upper-tier tight end option. "

Some members of our staff have Zach Sudfeld ranked as high as 12th, which would make him a great second tight end and even a legitimate TE1. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Sudfeld is a huge target with fluid athleticism. He has excellent concentration to win the ball in tight coverage while making adjustments that expose him to big hits. He has above average NFL athleticism at his position. He's not super fast, but he's quick and agile. Expect Sudfeld to be a hot commodity while Rob Gronkowski is on the bench early in the season and don't expect his production to drop off completely once Gronkowski returns. There's room for a player like Sudfeld to produce in 12 personnel sets. "

Kicker Summary:

Dan Bailey, our 13th ranked kicker, is below average but probably adequate.


Defense

LB: D`Qwell Jackson, DeMeco Ryans, Lawrence Timmons, Manti Te'o, Alec Ogletree
DL: Calais Campbell, Chandler Jones, Michael Bennett, Da'Quan Bowers
DB: Charles Tillman, Cortland Finnegan, T.J. Ward

LB Summary:

There is also the consideration that Jackson will be playing in a new scheme as the weak inside backer in the Brown new 3-4. While a new scheme always brings risk and uncertainty, this situation could turn Jackson back into an IDP gold mine. There are some who believe he has been playing out of position as a 4-3 middle linebacker, and that his skill set would have been a better fit on the weak side. The weak inside spot in the 3-4 may well be the best of both worlds. He has been healthy for two years, will have a talented and stout trio of linemen to work behind, is a sure tackler with a good deal of big play ability. A return to the top 12 in 2013 is a serious possibility.

Ryans was solid, but not spectacular in his first season with the Eagles. He was the one consistent fantasy presence on a team that struggled to produce viable fantasy options all season long. The switch to the 3-4 may have a slightly negative impact on Ryans numbers, but he's still a solid LB2-/LB3+.
It is Timmons big play ability that makes him particularly intriguing. Over the past five seasons he has recovered 4 fumbles, forced 10, intercepted 7 passes and recorded 23 sacks. Timmons got off to a slow and inconsistent start last season be finished very strong with 29 tackles, 5 sacks a forced and a recovered fumble over the final 4 games. There is some risk involved for anyone who picks up Timmons as their number one linebacker, but if he can pick up where he left off he could very well finish among the top 10 in 2013.

Teo steps into an outstanding situation in San Diego and should get a chance to play significant snaps in his rookie campaign. There are definite questions if Teo's speed can play at this level but many think that his instincts and motor will make up for his lack of speed. He was one of the most decorated college linebackers in recent history and should get a chance to play immediately.

With James Laurinaitis firmly ensconced in the middle, Ogletree will settle into an outside role, where weakside linebacker could be the best fit for his skill set. With the coverage ability and ball skills of a former safety in a 6'3", 242 pound frame, he will immediately strengthen the third down defense. Ogletree also made sense within the context of the NFC West division, as he will help contain the mobile quarterbacks of the 49ers and Seahawks. He has the well rounded talent and complete game to elevate the front seven into becoming one of the best in the NFL. If he emerges as a three down weak side linebacker, Jo-Lonn Dunbar was an extremely productive (top 10-15) IDP in this role last season.

DL Summary:

"They want us to shove (offensive linemen) back and be able to shed blocks quicker and make tackles in the backfield, which I think Dockett and myself would be very, very good at," said Campbell. "We’re very athletic." Campbell didn't have any troubles in previous DC Ray Horton's "two-gap" scheme, but Dockett was openly displeased. Campbell has a chance to be an even bigger star. The 6-foot-8, 300-pound 26-year-old has 14.5 sacks and a J.J. Watt-esque 18 batted passes over the last two seasons.

Jones is an athletic and explosive edge rusher with the potential to develop into one of the better defensive ends in the league. If he can stay healthy and the Patriots secondary holds up, double digit sacks are a good possibility. Consider him a DE2 with upside, particularly in dynasty or keeper leagues.

The Buccaneers are expecting big things from Bowers in 2013, but not so long ago there was doubt if he would ever play another down for the team after a gun charge. Bowers escaped with a fine, and should be more motivated than ever to prove his worth after the departure of Michael Bennett to Seattle. Bowers should beat out Daniel Te'o-Nesheim for the starting LDE berth and be a solid DL2 for IDP owners on an improving defensive unit. This offseason, Bowers said that anything less than 10 sacks in 2013 would be a failure for him.

The Seahawks will use Michael Bennett as a three-technique interior pass rusher after he played left end in Tampa Bay.
With LE Red Bryant and RE Cliff Avril on the ends, the Seahawks will open with NT Brandon Mebane and DT Bennett as the interior linemen. Bennett has plenty of experience as an interior defender, having played three-technique tackle in Tampa Bay's nickel and dime packages. The Seahawks will also bring Bruce Irvin off the edge on pass-rush downs. Irvin had eight sacks as a rookie.

DB Summary:

At 32 years of age, Tillman is likely reaching a point in his career where he will start to slow down and may need to consider moving inside to safety. In the Tampa 2 defense that Chicago favors, however, he has a chance to extend his career the same way that Ronde Barber did in Tampa. A physical player with good size and great playmaking instincts, Tillman is a truly elite corner and probably one of the most valuable IDPs in the league.

Teammates appreciate Finnegan's tone setting physicality and tenaciousness. He instantly made St. Louis a better defense the moment he stepped onto the field. Finnegan justified his hefty contract with a career-tying 83 solo tackles and a handful of big plays, with 3 INTs, one sack and a FF in 2013. He also had one of his best seasons in IDP leagues, with a top five finish in some scoring systems. At 28 years old, he continues to play at a high level and appears to still be in his prime.

As a rookie in 2010 T.J. Ward finished among the top five defensive back in terms of fantasy production. Since that time he has missed a number of games with injury while producing marginal and/or inconsistent numbers even when healthy. Cleveland's front seven is stronger entering 2013 than they have been at any point during Ward's short career, so there is no reason for high expectations.

[kontakt_97]

Die Pittsburgh Steelers 2013 (zu Beginn):

QB:
Aaron Rodgers, GB
Jay Cutler, CHI

Passt sehr gut, nix zu meckern, Top 3 QB und guter Backup

RB:
Ray Rice, BAL
Frank Gore, SF
Le'Veon Bell, PIT

Die Starter kommen langsam ins Alter, etwas dünn besetzt, hier brauchen wir etwas Glück, um heil über die Saison zu kommen.

WR:
A.J. Green, CIN
Brandon Marshall, CHI
Mike Williams, TB
Denarius Moore, OAK
Kendall Wright, TEN

Zwei sehr gute WR, die in der letzten Saison meine Erwartungen übertroffen haben. Mit Mike Williams einen sehr guten dritten in der Draft erwischt und mit Moore und Wright zwei WR mit Potenzial.

TE:
Rob Gronkowski, NE
Owen Daniels, HOU
Brandon Pettigrew, DET

Mal sehen, was aus Gronkowski wird. Die anderen beiden müssen halt die Stellung halten und das Beste draus machen.

K:
Blair Walsh, MIN

Hoffentlich wieder so ein Monsterjahr wie letztes Jahr und Alles ist gut.

DL:
J.J. Watt, HOU
Justin Tuck, NYG
Robert Quinn, STL

Mehr als zufrieden, dass ich Quinn als Mann neben Watt bekommen habe und mit Tuck muss man sehen, was wird

LB:
Daryl Washington, ARI
Paul Posluszny, JAX
Perry Riley, WAS
Nick Barnett, WAS
Danell Ellerbe, MIA

Auf Washington müssen wir halt noch ein bisschen warten. Poluszny wieder zu bekommen ist natürlich super. Riley wird der Lückenfüller sein, Barnett wird wohl entlassen.

DB:
Eric Weddle, SD
Roman Harper, NO
Jonathan Cyprien, JAX

Weddle war immer zuverlässig, mit Harper kann man leben und von Cyprien erwarte ich mir sehr viel (mal sehen)

[PanForever]

Die Seahawks:
Robert Griffin
Matt Stafford


Beide gekeepert. Sicherlich ein Duo mit dem man leben kann. Habe denke ich oft die Qual der Wahl...
RB
Jamaal Charles
Alfred Morris
Ben Tate
DeMarco Murray

3 Hatte ich schon. Mit Tate einen anständigen Backup. 3 solide Starter. Kann man nicht meckern.
WR
Andre Johnson
Larry Fitzgerald
Marques Colston
Pierre Garcon

4 WR sind evt etwas knapp. Dafür aber 2 Studs und 2 gute backup die ich immer ohne Probleme auf die FLEX stellen würde.
TE
Tyler Eifert
Martellus Bennett

Sicherlich die schwächste Position. Eifert steht als Rookiekeeper wohl schon fest.

DB
Casey Hayward
Tyvon Branch
Kam Chancellor
Harrison Smith
Hayward wird noch gehen. Hier habe ich meinen größten Fehler im Draft gemacht. Weiss nicht was mich da geritten hat in der ersten Runde H. Smith zu nehmmen...

DL
Damontre Moore
Muhammad Wilkerson
Michael Johnson
Carlos Dunlap

Beide Starter von den Benagals. Auch wenn ich sie beide mag, hab ich dadurch ein kleines Byeweekprob. Moore hab ich nur genommen um einen Rookie zu haben und weil er finde ich mehr Upside als D. Jones hat.

LB
Patrick Willis
Bruce Carter
Lavonte David
Mason Foster
Mychal Kendricks

Vorher meine schwächste Position. Jetzt recht ok. Mit Carter, Willis und L. David hoffe ich drei gute Starter.

K
Phil Dawson

[MasterofDisaster]

Die Cleveland Browns werden dieses Jahr hoffentlich nicht so ein down Jahr haben wie letzte Saison. Ich bin mit dem draft soweit zufrieden, vor allem da keiner meiner Spieler ein reach war, vor allem Patterson in Runde 2 hat mich sehr gefreut, wenn man bedankt wie schnell solche rookies in dieser Liga sonst immer weg waren. Vielleicht habe ich etwas zu sehr auf junge Spieler gesetzt um meine backup Positionen zu füllen, aber es sind einige Spieler mit viel Potential dabei, die auch richtig einschlagen könnten.

QB: Palmer

Ich bin dieses Jahr von meiner üblichen Vorliebe weggegangen und habe statt 2 TE, einen QB mitgenommen. Das ist dann auch mein einziger QB, da ich zulange gewartet habe und dann auch noch der letzte Notnagel, Manuel, direkt vor mir wegging. Ich erwarte von Palmer allerdings ein solides Jahr, mit upside.

RB: McCoy, Mathews, Miller, Bernard, Michael

Hier war ich durch die keeper schon sehr gut aufgestellt und das ich mit pick 2 einen rookie RB nehme war schon von vornherein klar. Das ich dann auch noch Michael in Runde 3 bekomme, hätte ich nicht gedacht. Von McCoy erwarte ich ich rebound Jahr in der neuen Offense und Mathews sah in der preseason besser aus als je zuvor. Miller könnte zum Top 10 RB werden, kommt auf die offense um ihn herum an.

WR: C. Johnson, Bowe, Patterson, Blackmon, Randle

Über Megatron muß man nicht viel sagen, und Bowe hat endlich mal nen QB, also sind meine starter sehe ich als mehr als solide an. Patterson wäre in früheren Jahren an pick 2.2 schon längst weg gewesen, den mußte ich einfach nehmen, auch wenn mir dadurch ein solider Veteran als Backup-WR durch die Lappen ging. Blackmon sollte ein solider backup werden, mit viel potential...bis hin zum möglichen Keeper für nächste Saison. Randle ist erstmal nur ein Lückenfüller, mal sehen was draus wird.

TE: V. Davis, F. Davis, Pitta

Die Davis Connection....habe ich auch in der NBL! Ich halte beide Spieler für die besten receiver in ihren Teams, was sich bei unserem scoring sehr bemerkbar machen wird. Pitta mußte ich einfach nehmen, allerdings eine Runde zu zeitig, sonst hätte ich jetzt auch nen Backup QB ;-). Ich habe schon vor der letzten Saison gesagt das er mich sehr an Witten erinnert und ist als keeper für nächste Saison eingeplant.

K: hab ich (noch) keinen....

DL: Allen, Pierre-Paul, Ansah, Spencer

Allen und JPP sind klare Starter, Ansah ein möglicher rookie-keeper, er hat das gleiche potential wie JPP. Und Spencer wird auf seiner neuen Position mehr als solide Punkte machen. Traditionell eine meiner stärksten Positionen.

LB: Lee, D. Johnson, Burfict, Bostic, D. Smith

Wie schon bei den QB/TE bin ich dieses Jahr mit 3 LB, statt mit 3 DL in die Saison. Mit Lee und D. Johnsonhabe ich zwei Top 10 LB an board, Burfict und Bostic haben dieses Potential allerdings auch. D. Smith, als solider Veteran, rundet die LB Position ab, vielleicht sogar als starter da er lt. Berichten der beste LB im Ravens Camp war.

DB: Nelson, Vaccaro, Pollard

Neslon und Pollard sollten solide Starter sein, mehr erwarte ich von einem Safety nicht, zur Not gibt es genügend free agents.
Vaccaro habe ich in der NBL knapp verpaßt und mußte ihn unbedingt nehmen als er zu diesem, für mich günstigen, Zeitpunkt noch zu haben war. Ich glaube er wird der beste DB seit Rod Woodson werden.

Fazit:
Alles hängt an der Gesundheit meiner offense-starter und das diese auch so spielen wie erhofft, da ich durch die rookies nicht viel Rostertiefe habe, zumindest bis diese nicht regelmäßig Punkte machen. Nur die Defense ist mehr als solide bestzt und widermal das glanzstück der Browns.
Aber da nicht die Defense alleine die Liga gewinnt wird es wohl für die Playoffs nicht reichen. Die GKL ist wie immer sehr ausgeglichen und ich bin, IMO, in der stärksten Division der Liga gelandet. Topfavorit auf den Titel sind für mich dieses Jahr die Cowboys.