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[GFRL2] Teamvorstellung 2013
#11

KaBa78 schrieb:@ Casper du kannst ja immer noch traden...

Ja, aber wer tradet schon einen Top-WR..da müsste ich ja auch etwas entsprechendes anzubieten haben.
Zumindest konnte ich noch einen guten Free Agent-Tausch bei den TEs machen.
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#12

Bin sehr zufrieden mit meinem team auch wenn ich auf 3 positionen kein back up habe, dafür find ich meine RBs und WRs super was auch mein ziel war, in bye weeks kann ich immer noch jemand picken als back up.
Find nur man kann jetzt auch nicht so viel auf das rating geben, weil das jeder anders sieht. Wie man Lynch allerdings als 10. besten RB nur haben kann versteh ich nicht, auch wenn ich sagen musste an NR.2 wo ich gedraftet habe, habe ich mir 7 verschiedene RBs überlegt, vorausgesetzt Peterson wird an #1 gedraftet. Lynch kam mir da einfach als sicherste variante vor, auch wenn er vllt am wenigsten upset hat.
Auch Marshall nur als 6. WR zu ranken find ich strange. Fast alles was ich mitbekommen habe bei WR war, dass Megatron klar NR. 1 und dann dez bryant, AJ Green und Marshall kommen und danach wieder eine lücke ist.
Bin auf jedenfall überzeugt die playoffs zu machen :engel:.

QB: Russell Wilson
RB: Marshawn Lynch, Maurice Jones-Drew, Chris Ivory, Bernard Pierce
WR: Brandon Marshall, Dwayne Bowe, Antonio Brown, Cecil Shorts, Chris Givens
TE: Martellus Bennett, Ed Dickson, Heath Miller
PK: Kai Forbath
TD: Cleveland Browns

Overview:

In a competitive league, almost every team has a weakness. It's almost impossible to build a team that is strong at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and wide receiver). As you probably suspect, we perceive your weakness to be at the quarterback position. Of all the deficiencies to have though, this is usually the easiest one to mask.

Footballguys owner David Dodds even recommends you go into your draft with the goal of landing the top RBs and WRs while waiting to grab QBs late. Value-Based Drafting principles also suggest that teams constructed in this manner end up being strong. But for this team to reach it's full potential, you might need to have a quick trigger finger at the QB position and stay on the look out for good quarterback help. Last year Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck could be had very cheap in August and September, but ended up contributing to a lot of fantasy championships. In 2011 it was Cam Newton; in 2010 it was Michael Vick and Josh Freeman; in 2008, the same could be said of players like Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner, and Matt Cassel. Quarterbacks like these can be found every year, and that could be the key to your team's success.

So although this team isn't perfect (few are), we still see it as an above average team.

Players we particularly like on this team include Cecil Shorts, Antonio Brown, Dwayne Bowe, Chris Givens, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Bernard Pierce. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:

With great inseason management, we think you have about a 85 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With good inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With average inseason management, we think you have a 62 percent chance of making the playoffs.

QB Summary:

We have Russell Wilson rated #12 among quarterbacks, which makes him a viable starter if not an exciting one. We strongly recommend that you add a backup QB (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).

A quick note about the same-team Wilson/Marshawn Lynch duo you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Russell Wilson ranked as high as fourth, which would make him an above average first quarterback. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Wilson was a high-end QB2/low-end QB1 for me entering last season and he delivered. For most, the loss of Percy Harvin Wilson will likely hurt Wilson's upside as a top-five passer. Still I'd take Wilson after the stud QBs leave the board and hope he drops below Matt Ryan and Matthew Stafford. I still think he's a strong QB1 in the bottom half of that tier because if he can be an elite fantasy passer down the stretch without Harvin last year then I think he makes the jump to consistent top-5 production in 2013. He spreads the ball around as well as anyone and his confidence in trusting the open man over a specific player is the common trait he shares with the elite players in the game. I think Seattle is on the verge of a huge season offensively and it makes Wilson a bargain once again this year. "

RB Summary:

We have Marshawn Lynch ranked #10 at the position. So while he's passable as a first running back, he doesn't look particularly thrilling. But we do like your depth at RB, so we're not concerned about it.

Maurice Jones-Drew looks great as a second running back; he's a likely flex starter. Chris Ivory should also be solidly above average at RB3. Not only do we like Bernard Pierce as a fourth running back, we love that you stole him from the Ray Rice owner.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Marshawn Lynch ranked as high as fourth, which would make him an above average first running back. Mark Wimer defends his high ranking as follows: "Lynch is one of the few every-down running backs left in the NFL - he's a beast in all scoring formats. I like him as a fire-and-forget RB 1 all season long. He'll produce no matter which defenses he faces, due to his heavy workload, though there is a pending legal issue (DUI) that could impact his season. The delays in bringing the case to trial are making a resolution to the case (and any league suspension) unlikely during this season. "

WR Summary:

Nice work here. We like both your starting receivers, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 1.4 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Brandon Marshall is our #6 ranked receiver, and we have Dwayne Bowe at #12.

Your bench also looks good. Tough to do better than Antonio Brown at WR3. Cecil Shorts is also a very nice WR4.

Chris Givens is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.

Again, the same-team aspect of the Marshall/Martellus Bennett duo does not concern us.

TE Summary:

This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Martellus Bennett as a viable starter or Ed Dickson as an above average backup. Help is needed.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Martellus Bennett is ranked #4 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average first tight end. Mark Wimer reasons, "I'm excited by the big opportunity for Bennett in Chicago's new offense - he acquitted himself well in New York last season and has a lot of fantasy potential playing with Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall this year - Bennett may be the second or third target on this team, depending on how Alshon Jeffery develops (or doesn't) during his second NFL campaign. I've been drafting Bennett consistently and plan to continue to do so until the last fantasy draft of the preseason."

Ed Dickson is ranked #10 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second tight end and even a legitimate TE1. Mark Wimer reasons, "With Dennis Pitta out for the season, Dickson vaults into fantasy TE #1 territory. The Ravens need to rely on the tight end more this year with Anquan Boldin now hanging his cleats in San Francisco and Jacoby Jones as the likely #2 wide receiver on the squad. However, Dickson's absence due to a hamstring injury (he returned to practice on August 19) opened the door to Visanthe Shiancoe and Dallas Clark to sign with the Ravens - the picture at tight end is now murkier than before Pitta and Dickson were hurt."

Kicker Summary:

Kai Forbath, our 12th ranked kicker, is below average but probably adequate.

Defense Summary:

When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Browns', along with the combined schedule that each would create:

Browns + Buccaneers = NYJ | BAL | MIN | ARI | BUF | PHI | ATL | KC | BAL | MIA | CIN | PIT | JAX | BUF | CHI | NYJ
Browns + Giants = MIA | BAL | CAR | CIN | PHI | CHI | GB | PHI | BAL | OAK | CIN | PIT | JAX | SD | CHI | NYJ
Browns + Chargers = MIA | PHI | TEN | CIN | BUF | IND | JAX | KC | BAL | DEN | CIN | PIT | JAX | NYG | CHI | NYJ
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#13

So, dann beteilige ich mich hier auch mal.
Bin größtenteils zufrieden, wie der Draft für mich gelaufen is...eine klare Schwäche hab ich bei den TEs, da hab ichs irgendwie n bisschen verpennt nen guten Starter zu holen.
Denke ich war zu gierig bei den RBs und WRs, um da auf Tiefe zu kommen Tongue
Bei den RBs bin ich meiner Meinung nach am besten aufgestellt, hab auch 2 gute Backups/evtl Sleeper.

Die WR sind nach meiner Einschätzung nicht so schlecht wie sie bei den Footballguys wegkommen, aber das muss sich noch zeigen.

Bei den QBs waren ja einige überrascht, dass Ryan und Kaepernick vor Brady weggegangen sind. Ich hab mir da auch den Kopf drüber zerbrochen und Ryan in meiner Liste über Brady eingeordnet. Zum einen weil er von Matchups her über die Saison hin besser steht und ich mir dachte, dass er mit 2 Top-Receivern mehr Möglichkeiten hat als Brady. Hab dabei evtl die TEs weng aus dem Blick gelassen, aber denke ich werd meine Wahl erstmal nich bereuen. Smile

Joa, zum Rest brauch man nix groß sagen. Für den ersten Draft hab ich bei den Positionen, die nich so viel Punkten einfach ne Liste mit vorausgesagten Punkten für diese Saison abgeklappert^^


Würde mich auch über Kommentare der Erfahreneren zu meinen Einschätzungen freuen :jump: und hoffe, dass meine Chancen auf die Playoffs nicht wirklich so gering sind, wie die Footballguys es sehen. :confused:


QB: Matt Ryan, Josh Freeman
RB: Jamaal Charles, Ryan Mathews, Ben Tate, Bryce Brown
WR: Randall Cobb, Wes Welker, Chris Givens, Kenbrell Thompkins
TE: Brandon Pettigrew, Brent Celek
PK: Justin Tucker
TD: Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys

Overview:

We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back. The receiver corps is a concern though.

The good news is that, of all of the weaknesses to have, this one is usually the most survivable. At receiver, it's often relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season.
Last year wide receivers like James Jones and Cecil Shorts went undrafted. But these guys likely helped the fantasy teams that landed them in 2012. Stay atop the news and watch the target report to find the break out players weeks before the rest of the world wants them and you'll be in the mix.

Players we particularly like on this team include Matt Ryan, Ben Tate, and Justin Tucker. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:

With great inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With good inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With average inseason management, we think you have a 34 percent chance of making the playoffs.

QB Summary:

We expect Matt Ryan to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #5 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.

Josh Freeman, who we have rated as the #22 QB, should be a fine backup.

Incidentally, Freeman has what we project as a good matchup (PHI) during Ryan's bye.

RB Summary:

Jamaal Charles is a solid choice as a top running back. He's our #5 RB, so you're ahead of most teams there.

Ryan Mathews should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. We also very much approve of the selection of Ben Tate, and not just because you can hold the Arian Foster owner hostage. He's a fine third running back in his own right. Not only do we like Bryce Brown as a fourth running back, we love that you stole him from the LeSean McCoy owner.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Ryan Mathews is ranked #19 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average second running back. Jeff Tefertiller reasons, "Even with the injury issues the past couple of seasons, the youngster has loads of upside. He makes a high-ceiling RB2 with relatively low risk. Like Rivers, much depends on the offensive line. "

WR Summary:

We see both your starters at receiver as below average. Randall Cobb is our #13 ranked receiver, and we have Wes Welker at #35.

Chris Givens should be a good third receiver. Kenbrell Thompkins should be adequate at WR4.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Randall Cobb ranked as high as eighth, which would make him a fine first receiver. Ryan Hester defends his high ranking as follows: "After 80 catches, nearly 1,000 yards, and eight touchdowns in 2012, Cobb's arrow is pointing up. With the departure of veteran Greg Jennings, Cobb should have more opportunities to excel as the team's most game-breaking talent."

Wes Welker is ranked #12 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second receiver and even a legitimate WR1. Jeff Haseley reasons, "Remember how good Peyton Manning made Austin Collie in the first half of the 2010 season? He'll utilize Wes Welker in the same manner. Reception totals should reach 90 with plenty of opportunities for touchdowns in Denver's offense."

Chris Givens is ranked #32 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average third receiver. Jeff Tefertiller reasons, "The speedy Givens should benefit from the addition of rookie Tavon Austin. With the speed on the Rams offense, it will be up to Sam bradfor to finally play up to his potential"

Kenbrell Thompkins is ranked #43 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average fourth receiver. Matt Waldman reasons, "I've written plenty about Thompkins. He looks a week away from being locked in as the WR2 in this offense. But in the past the WR2 in the Patriots system ranges from Deion Branch production to Randy Moss. I'm thinking what Brandon Lloyd did last year is probably Thompkins' absolute upside, which means WR3 fantasy production - at best. Worth picking late, but as much as I like him, don't go overboard. "

TE Summary:

This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Brandon Pettigrew as a viable starter or Brent Celek as an above average backup. Help is needed.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Brandon Pettigrew ranked as high as ninth, which would make him a fine first tight end. Andy Hicks defends his high ranking as follows: "The Lions are more likely to resemble the 2011 offense than the struggling version last year and that brings Brandon Pettigrew right into play as a fantasy option. With Titus Young no longer at the Lions and Ryan Broyles and Nate Burleson coming off bad injuries, the Lions will need to take the pressure off Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush. Pettigrew is the perfect player to do that. "

Some members of our staff have Brent Celek ranked as high as 19th, which would make him an above average second tight end. Andy Hicks defends his high ranking as follows: "Brent Celek had a significant downturn in production following the collapse of the Philadelphia offense last year. It remains to see how he will be utilized under Chip Kelly's offense and how much playing time he will lose, if any, to rookie Zach Ertz. Celek is a player who may be useful early in the season, but could just as easily disappear altogether."

Kicker Summary:

With Justin Tucker, you should be above average at the position.

Defense Summary:

Between the Bears and the Cowboys, you should get above average production here.
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#14

Also Ryan vor Brady ist denke ich in Ordnung bzw nicht falsch. Zum einen ist ungewiss wie oft die Patriots laufen gerade mit den vielen rookie WRs. Es wird mit Sicherheit ne Pass-Offense bleiben, aber bereits letztes Jahr wurde schon mehr Wert aufs Laufspiel gelegt als die Jahre zuvor. Ryan hat ja zudem auch nen top TE mit Gonzalez auch wenn hier nen richtig guter RB verpflichtet wurde wirds ne Pass-first Offense bleiben.

Der Kaepernick Pick vor Brady ist da eher der ungewöhnlichere Pick ohne sein Top-Ziel Crabtree. Er hat eben auch erst ne dreiviertel Saison gespielt und ich schätze auf sein Laufspiel werden die Defenses zumindest besser eingestellt sein als letzte Saison.

Ryan war in einigen Cheatsheets die ich gesehen habe über Brady eben auch wegen der Receiver, also falsch war da nix.

Deine WR sehen wirklich nicht so schlecht aus. Wobei bei Welker die Frage sein wird wie oft er angespielt wird in der Offense. Bei den Pats war er Receiver No 1. mit Thomas wird er sich um die receptions streiten. Du hast eben keinen Top 7 Pick aber den hab ich auch nicht.

Deine Schwachstelle sind vermutlich wirklich die TEs und deshalb wohl auch die Prozente bzw die Frage hast du auch angegeben dass 8 Teams in die playoffs kommen? daran könnt es auch liegen.

Bei den RBs bin ich nicht ganz deiner Meinung. Du hast mit Charles nen Top Pick. Tate ist aber nicht unbedingt nen 3. RB weil er zumindest derzeit nur Backup von Foster ist. Bei Mathews scheiden sich wohl die Geister. Der müsste eigentlich deutlich besser sein aber nicht mal 1000 yrds und nur 1 TD letzte Saison sind für nen RB2 nicht so sehr viel.

Dafür mag ich deinen Thompkins pick. Der wird definitiv der WR2 von Brady sein hinter Amendola. Hat richtig gute Hände. Gegen die Eagles hat er nen gutes Route-Running gezeigt und in Bedrängnis gefangen. Zudem in einer Szene Dobson glaub oder nem andern angezeigt er laufe zum falschen Spot hat also die Offense verstanden. Gegen die Lions hat er dann gezeigt, dass er sich außen auch mal freilaufen kann. Also der ist denke ich auch normalerweise kein wirklicher undrafted rookie. Das lag wohl auch an seinen Vorgeschichten in der Highschool und dem College und hat dadurch weniger Einsatzzeiten bekommen. Zumindest hat er im Camp und der Preseason Dobson und Boyce die 2nd und 3rd round Picks der Patriots hinter sich gelassen. Und wenn er das auch in der regulären Saison zeigt, dann spielst eben mit nem WR auf der Flex.
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#15

Jup, habe 8 Teams angegeben. Aber grad mal gesehen, dass man die Bewertung zwischen 4 Leuten umschalten kann. Bei den anderen 3 waren die Chancen zumindest nochmal höher angelegt, wenn auch nich so überragend wie bei manch anderem hier Big Grin

Danke auf jeden Fall mal für die Einschätzung, bei den RBs muss ich halt mal schauen wie sich die Sache entwickelt. Und Welker steht halt in ner fast überzüchteten Pass-Offense mit Thomas un Decker, aber ich hoffe der wird seinen Teil vom Kuchen abbekommen Wink
TEs muss ich halt mal abwarten, was sich während der Saison noch tut. FAs sind ja auch keine prickelnden mehr da xD
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#16

bin jetzt kein matt ryan fan, deswegen hätt ich ihn sicher nicht vor brady gezogen, ist halt ein solider QB. Find deine WR aber viel besser als wie sie bewertet werden.
Cobb ist für mich auf jedenfall top 10, ich hatte ihn sogar als 8. besten WR. Und welker definitiv top 20, viele seiten haben ihn auch als top 15 gelistet.

Matthwes bin ich jetzt auch kein fan, aber als flex gehts. deine RB 3 und 4 sind halt nur wirklich gut wenn sich der starter jeweils verletzt und glaub dein WR Chris Givens aus NO hast du mit dem Chris Givens von STL verwechselt, weil den chris givens aus NO find ich nirgends unter den top 120 WR.

TE ist keine position wenn man nicht Graham oder Gronkowski hat, die wirklich gut vorhersehbar ist dieses Jahr und pettigrew kann bei den vielen throws von stafford auch ein paar pässe und auch ein paar TDs fangen.
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#17

Ja, das mit Givens is mir auch grade erst aufgefallen >.<
Der Givens von den Saints is sogar "out for season", hab ich grad noch bemerkt...war also n richtiger Griff ins Klo beim Draft Big Grin

Dann werd ich mal die Free Agents plündern :>
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